class: center, middle, inverse, title-slide .title[ # Equilíbrio da estrutura intraurbana ] .subtitle[ ## ECO075-2022 - Economia Urbana ] .author[ ### Arthur Alvarenga e Rosa Lívia Montenegro ] .institute[ ### Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora (UFJF) ] .date[ ### 02/01/2022 ] --- # Introdução ## Recapitulando .pull-left[ ### Dilema do indivíduo * Acessibilidade: `\(min\)` custos de transporte * Espaço: `\(max\)` área da residência ] .pull-right[ ### Dilema da firma * Fatores: `\(min\)` custo com salários, transporte e terra * Aproveitar das economias de **aglomeração** + *Clusters* e subcentros ] --- # Fatos estilizados .pull-left[ ### Firmas * Comércio e serviços + Contato físico essencial `\(\rightarrow\)` concentração no **CBD** + Contato é dispensável `\(\rightarrow\)` onde for mais barato * Indústrias + Aglomerar é bom... + ... mas fundamental estar perto dos nós de transporte + Subcentros especializados: polos automotivos, moveleiros etc. ] .pull-right[ ### Indivíduos * Muito mais dispersos do que os empregos * No entanto, o padrão de densidade prevalece! * Gradiente de **densidade** e de **preços** a partir do CBD ### Padrões de deslocamento * Empregos dispersos: deslocamentos dispersos * Empregos concentrados: forte movimento pendular ] ---- > Fatos estilizados são "observações empíricas usadas como **ponto inicial** para a construção de teorias econômicas. Um fato estilizado **deve** ser verdadeiro no geral, mas não necessariamente em todos os casos" (*Oxford Reference*). --- # Fatos estilizados <img src="src/images/bertaud_density.png" width="45%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> .center[*Fonte: Bertaud (2018)*] --- # Fatos estilizados .pull-left[ <img src="src/images/density_sao.png" width="1213" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] .pull-right[ <img src="src/images/density_bhz.png" width="1213" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] .center[ [*Fonte: Jardim (2018)*](https://caosplanejado.com/novo-plano-diretor-de-belo-horizonte-mais-um-passo-para-o-fracasso/) ] ---- > O que causa os **desvios** dos fatos estilizados? Há um novo padrão, essas cidades são exceções ou não podemos generalizar o equilíbrio espacial intraurbano? --- # Equilíbrio intraurbano ao longo do tempo .pull-left[ ## Paris, 1578  *Fonte: https://www.smith.edu/insight/stories/paris.php* ] .pull-right[ ## Île-de-France, hoje <div class="leaflet html-widget html-fill-item-overflow-hidden html-fill-item" id="htmlwidget-35cf59fba6f6426c236c" style="width:720px;height:360px;"></div> <script type="application/json" 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] --- # Primórdios .pull-left[ ### Tração animal * Dentro da cidade * Transbordo ao porto * Deslocamento ao interior (caro e lento!) ] .pull-right[ ### Portos * Deslocamento ao interior: cidades fluviais e costeiras * Exportações ] ---- * O custo de transportar **mercadoria** era uma barreira muito grande, mesmo dentro da cidade * Os trabalhadores se deslocavam a pé ou por tração animal + Cidade horizontalmente limitada + Deveriam morar perto das fábricas * Resultado: fábricas no **centro** das cidades e zonas portuárias > *Why the east end of most cities are poorer?* Vídeo do canal Wendover Productions: <br> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=my9fsBix630&ab_channel=HalfasInteresting --- # A ascensão da cidade monocêntrica .pull-left[ ### Ferrovia * Revolução sem precedntes * Mais mercados alcançados * Aprofunda economias de algomeração * Novo padrão: indústrias *clusterizadas* ao longo dos trilhos <img src="src/images/meatpacking_old.jpg" width="90%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] .pull-right[ <br><br><br> <img src="src/images/meatpacking_new.jpg" width="90%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # A ascensão da cidade monocêntrica ### Inovações no transporte urbano * Limite de uma aglomeração urbana: **uma hora** de deslocamento até o centro * Novos modos de transporte permitem **aumentar** o tamanho das cidades e **aprofundar** as econominas de aglomeração + `\(\downarrow\)` custos de transporte `\(\rightarrow\)` `\(\uparrow\)` área viável da cidade `\(\rightarrow\)` especialização, troca de conhecimento, inovações .pull-left[ #### Bonde em Juiz de Fora <img src="src/images/bonde_jf_2.jpg" width="80%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> Fonte: [Maria do Resguardo (2010)](https://www.mariadoresguardo.com.br/2010/01/o-bonde-arquivo-ramon-brandao.html) ] .pull-right[ #### O *Underground* de Londres <img src="src/images/london_underground.jpg" width="80%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> Fonte: [History Today (2013)](https://www.historytoday.com/archive/months-past/first-day-london-tube) ] --- # A ascensão da cidade monocêntrica ## Inovações na tecnologia de construção .pull-left[ ### Até início do séc. XIX * Madeira era a base * Caro e difícil subir mais que **três** andares * Piso térreo era o mais valorizado: comodidade ### Pós revolução industrial * Pregos barateados * Estruturas em aço * Elevador (1854): morar alto tem valor (vistas, ar) ] .pull-right[ #### O primeiro arranhacéu: Chicago, EUA (1885) <img src="src/images/skyscraper.jpg" height="80%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # A ascensão da cidade monocêntrica ## Ferrovia + bonde + elevador = novo equilíbrio espacial .pull-left[ * Cidades crescem para cima e para os lados * Favorece padrão **monocêntrico** + Comércio e serviços centralizados + Moradias ao longo da rede de transporte *(hub-and-spoke)* * Indústrias ainda têm custo alto de transportar mercadoria, mas ficou barato levar os operários até elas: + Permitiu ocupação ao longo dos trilhos ] --- # A ascensão da cidade monocêntrica ## Ferrovia + bonde + elevador = novo equilíbrio espacial .pull-left[ #### Centro de Belo Horizonte, ca. 1940-50 <img src="src/images/bhz_centro.jpg" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] .pull-right[ #### Rede de bondes, anos 1960 <img src="src/images/bonde_bh.webp" width="60%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> ] --- # O declínio da cidade monocêntrica ## Caminhões * Reduziram custo de transporte * Eliminaram necessidade de estar perto da ferrovia ou do cliente * Ficou competitivo em relação ao trem e ao navio ### Decisão locacional: antes *vs.* depois do caminhão <img src="src/images/caminhao.png" width="4392" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> Fonte: O'Sullivan (2011) --- # O declínio da cidade monocêntrica .pull-left[ ## Carros * Carro: nova revolução no transporte de pessoas + Deslocamentos fora dos eixos de trilhos + Mais opções locacionais ] .pull-right[ ## Rodovias e o rodoviariarismo * Pós-guerra: rodovias e viadutos * Prioridade ao transporte individual * Zoneamento ] <img src="src/images/phoenix.jpg" width="40%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> --- # O declínio da cidade monocêntrica ## Setor terciário * Até anos 1970: contato era indispensável + Não tinha excel, não tinha email! + É caro transportar relatórios: atividades operacionais **devem** estar no centro * Anos 1980 em diante: informática + Várias atividades eliminadas ou feitas virtualmente + Exemplo: *call centers* na Índia ---- Se o presencial é indispensável, a tendência é centralizar. Por isso os centros não morreram completamente! > *"Para várias profissões, até para trabalhos altamente intelectuais, o trabalho presencial aumenta a **produtividade**. Interações **não planejadas** nos corredores e em espaços comuns costumam ser chave para o progresso. Tão importante quanto isso, o trabalho remoto é raramente tão agradável quanto estar na mesma sala"* <br> Glaeser e Cutler (2021). --- # O declínio da cidade monocêntrica ## Outros fatores * Organização industrial + Plantas horizontais requerem espaço + Terra mais barata no subúrbio + Custo de transporte não é mais uma restrição tão forte * Aeroportos + Produtos de alto valor agregado + Novos *clusters* próximos aos aeroportos + Aerotrópole: Amsterdam, Panamá, Belo Horizonte (projeto) --- # Causas do espraiamento ### Terra é bem normal `\(\partial x / \partial m > 0\)` $$ `\begin{cases} \text{Aumento da renda} \rightarrow \text{demanda por lotes maiores} \\ \text{Carros} \rightarrow \downarrow \text{custo de deslocar } \rightarrow \text{fuga aos subúrbios} \end{cases}` $$ ### Deslocamento do emprego Efeito retroalimentador: empresas se afastam do centro `\(\leftrightarrow\)` trabalhadores se mudam --- # Causas do espraiamento ## Estados Unidos * Externalidades do automóvel **não** são internalizadas + Subsídios ao combustível + Investimento massivo em infraestrutura para o automóvel + Pouca ou nenhuma taxação da poluição + Ausência de pedágios urbanos/tarifas de congestionamento * Financiamento de imóveis favorece residências unifamiliares * Zonaeamento: *red lining*, briga de interesses * Baixa prioridade para transporte coletivo + Pouco financiamento + Ciclo vicioso: baixa densidade o torna pouco eficiente > *"A construção da I-95 em Miami exigiu a relocação forçada de mais de 12 mil residentes, sendo quase 100% deles negros. Usando desapropriações, o governo tomou construções no coração da comunidade negra de Miami em Overtown, oferecendo contrapartidas bem abaixo do valor de mercado para os proprietários e nada para os inquilinos"*. <br> Segregation by Design, vídeo: https://twitter.com/SegByDesign/status/1592179874139344896 --- # Causas do espraiamento ### Diferenças culturais * EUA: preferência por casas em lotes grandes + Favorece espraiamento * Leste asiático: preferência por centralidade + Favorece adensamento --- # Causas do espraiamento ## NIMBY *vs.* YIMBY .pull-left[ #### NIMBY: **Not** in my backyard * Foco na externalidade negativa do adensamento * Zoneamento unifamiliar * Usos separados ] .pull-right[ #### YIMBY: **Yes** in my backyard * Foco na externalidade positiva do adensamento * Uso misto * Mais investimento público em transporte coletivo ] --- # Consequências do espraiamento <img src="src/images/energydensity.png" width="40%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> *Fonte: https://twitter.com/UrbanistOrg/status/1499051911495835650* --- # Consequências do espraiamento ## Atlanta *vs.* Barcelona <img src="src/images/atlbcn.png" width="40%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> *Fonte: Bertaud (2004)* --- # Consequências do espraiamento <img src="src/images/njb.png" width="40%" style="display: block; margin: auto;" /> [Suburbia is Subsidized: here is the math](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Nw6qyyrTeI&ab_channel=NotJustBikes) --- # Para além do livro texto ## Livros * Jacobs (2011). Morte e vida nas grandes cidades * Bertaud (2018). Order without design: How markets shape cities * Glaeser e Cutler (2021). The survival of the city ## Mídias * Podcast Caos Planejado + Alguns episódios: #29 Economia Urbana, #37 Acessibilidade à moradia, #69 A evolução do penamento urbano no Brasil * Youtube + São Paulo Nas Alturas, City Beautiful, Wendover Productions, Not Just Bikes * Twitter + Perfis sobre urbanismo: @UrbanDemog, @caosplanejado, @rauljustelores, @ChittiMarco, @mnolangray, @SegByDesign e outros --- # Dúvidas? .pull-left[.pull-down[ ### Arthur Bazolli Alvarenga <a href="mailto:arthur.bazolli@estudante.ufjf.br"> <svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" style="height:1em;position:relative;display:inline-block;top:.1em;" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"> <path d="M440 6.5L24 246.4c-34.4 19.9-31.1 70.8 5.7 85.9L144 379.6V464c0 46.4 59.2 65.5 86.6 28.6l43.8-59.1 111.9 46.2c5.9 2.4 12.1 3.6 18.3 3.6 8.2 0 16.3-2.1 23.6-6.2 12.8-7.2 21.6-20 23.9-34.5l59.4-387.2c6.1-40.1-36.9-68.8-71.5-48.9zM192 464v-64.6l36.6 15.1L192 464zm212.6-28.7l-153.8-63.5L391 169.5c10.7-15.5-9.5-33.5-23.7-21.2L155.8 332.6 48 288 464 48l-59.4 387.3z"></path></svg> arthur.bazolli@estudante.ufjf.br </a> <a href="https://baarthur.github.io/urbana_grad/"> <svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" style="height:1em;position:relative;display:inline-block;top:.1em;" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"> <path d="M326.612 185.391c59.747 59.809 58.927 155.698.36 214.59-.11.12-.24.25-.36.37l-67.2 67.2c-59.27 59.27-155.699 59.262-214.96 0-59.27-59.26-59.27-155.7 0-214.96l37.106-37.106c9.84-9.84 26.786-3.3 27.294 10.606.648 17.722 3.826 35.527 9.69 52.721 1.986 5.822.567 12.262-3.783 16.612l-13.087 13.087c-28.026 28.026-28.905 73.66-1.155 101.96 28.024 28.579 74.086 28.749 102.325.51l67.2-67.19c28.191-28.191 28.073-73.757 0-101.83-3.701-3.694-7.429-6.564-10.341-8.569a16.037 16.037 0 0 1-6.947-12.606c-.396-10.567 3.348-21.456 11.698-29.806l21.054-21.055c5.521-5.521 14.182-6.199 20.584-1.731a152.482 152.482 0 0 1 20.522 17.197zM467.547 44.449c-59.261-59.262-155.69-59.27-214.96 0l-67.2 67.2c-.12.12-.25.25-.36.37-58.566 58.892-59.387 154.781.36 214.59a152.454 152.454 0 0 0 20.521 17.196c6.402 4.468 15.064 3.789 20.584-1.731l21.054-21.055c8.35-8.35 12.094-19.239 11.698-29.806a16.037 16.037 0 0 0-6.947-12.606c-2.912-2.005-6.64-4.875-10.341-8.569-28.073-28.073-28.191-73.639 0-101.83l67.2-67.19c28.239-28.239 74.3-28.069 102.325.51 27.75 28.3 26.872 73.934-1.155 101.96l-13.087 13.087c-4.35 4.35-5.769 10.79-3.783 16.612 5.864 17.194 9.042 34.999 9.69 52.721.509 13.906 17.454 20.446 27.294 10.606l37.106-37.106c59.271-59.259 59.271-155.699.001-214.959z"></path></svg> baarthur.github.io/urbana_grad/ </a> <a href="http://twitter.com/baarthur0"> <svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" style="height:1em;position:relative;display:inline-block;top:.1em;" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"> <path d="M459.37 151.716c.325 4.548.325 9.097.325 13.645 0 138.72-105.583 298.558-298.558 298.558-59.452 0-114.68-17.219-161.137-47.106 8.447.974 16.568 1.299 25.34 1.299 49.055 0 94.213-16.568 130.274-44.832-46.132-.975-84.792-31.188-98.112-72.772 6.498.974 12.995 1.624 19.818 1.624 9.421 0 18.843-1.3 27.614-3.573-48.081-9.747-84.143-51.98-84.143-102.985v-1.299c13.969 7.797 30.214 12.67 47.431 13.319-28.264-18.843-46.781-51.005-46.781-87.391 0-19.492 5.197-37.36 14.294-52.954 51.655 63.675 129.3 105.258 216.365 109.807-1.624-7.797-2.599-15.918-2.599-24.04 0-57.828 46.782-104.934 104.934-104.934 30.213 0 57.502 12.67 76.67 33.137 23.715-4.548 46.456-13.32 66.599-25.34-7.798 24.366-24.366 44.833-46.132 57.827 21.117-2.273 41.584-8.122 60.426-16.243-14.292 20.791-32.161 39.308-52.628 54.253z"></path></svg> @baarthur0 </a> <a href="http://github.com/baarthur"> <svg viewBox="0 0 496 512" style="height:1em;position:relative;display:inline-block;top:.1em;" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"> <path d="M165.9 397.4c0 2-2.3 3.6-5.2 3.6-3.3.3-5.6-1.3-5.6-3.6 0-2 2.3-3.6 5.2-3.6 3-.3 5.6 1.3 5.6 3.6zm-31.1-4.5c-.7 2 1.3 4.3 4.3 4.9 2.6 1 5.6 0 6.2-2s-1.3-4.3-4.3-5.2c-2.6-.7-5.5.3-6.2 2.3zm44.2-1.7c-2.9.7-4.9 2.6-4.6 4.9.3 2 2.9 3.3 5.9 2.6 2.9-.7 4.9-2.6 4.6-4.6-.3-1.9-3-3.2-5.9-2.9zM244.8 8C106.1 8 0 113.3 0 252c0 110.9 69.8 205.8 169.5 239.2 12.8 2.3 17.3-5.6 17.3-12.1 0-6.2-.3-40.4-.3-61.4 0 0-70 15-84.7-29.8 0 0-11.4-29.1-27.8-36.6 0 0-22.9-15.7 1.6-15.4 0 0 24.9 2 38.6 25.8 21.9 38.6 58.6 27.5 72.9 20.9 2.3-16 8.8-27.1 16-33.7-55.9-6.2-112.3-14.3-112.3-110.5 0-27.5 7.6-41.3 23.6-58.9-2.6-6.5-11.1-33.3 2.6-67.9 20.9-6.5 69 27 69 27 20-5.6 41.5-8.5 62.8-8.5s42.8 2.9 62.8 8.5c0 0 48.1-33.6 69-27 13.7 34.7 5.2 61.4 2.6 67.9 16 17.7 25.8 31.5 25.8 58.9 0 96.5-58.9 104.2-114.8 110.5 9.2 7.9 17 22.9 17 46.4 0 33.7-.3 75.4-.3 83.6 0 6.5 4.6 14.4 17.3 12.1C428.2 457.8 496 362.9 496 252 496 113.3 383.5 8 244.8 8zM97.2 352.9c-1.3 1-1 3.3.7 5.2 1.6 1.6 3.9 2.3 5.2 1 1.3-1 1-3.3-.7-5.2-1.6-1.6-3.9-2.3-5.2-1zm-10.8-8.1c-.7 1.3.3 2.9 2.3 3.9 1.6 1 3.6.7 4.3-.7.7-1.3-.3-2.9-2.3-3.9-2-.6-3.6-.3-4.3.7zm32.4 35.6c-1.6 1.3-1 4.3 1.3 6.2 2.3 2.3 5.2 2.6 6.5 1 1.3-1.3.7-4.3-1.3-6.2-2.2-2.3-5.2-2.6-6.5-1zm-11.4-14.7c-1.6 1-1.6 3.6 0 5.9 1.6 2.3 4.3 3.3 5.6 2.3 1.6-1.3 1.6-3.9 0-6.2-1.4-2.3-4-3.3-5.6-2z"></path></svg> @baarthur </a> <br><br><br> ]] .pull-right[.pull-down[ ### Rosa Lívia Gonçalves Montenegro <a href="mailto:rosa.livia@ufjf.br"> <svg viewBox="0 0 512 512" style="height:1em;position:relative;display:inline-block;top:.1em;" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"> <path d="M440 6.5L24 246.4c-34.4 19.9-31.1 70.8 5.7 85.9L144 379.6V464c0 46.4 59.2 65.5 86.6 28.6l43.8-59.1 111.9 46.2c5.9 2.4 12.1 3.6 18.3 3.6 8.2 0 16.3-2.1 23.6-6.2 12.8-7.2 21.6-20 23.9-34.5l59.4-387.2c6.1-40.1-36.9-68.8-71.5-48.9zM192 464v-64.6l36.6 15.1L192 464zm212.6-28.7l-153.8-63.5L391 169.5c10.7-15.5-9.5-33.5-23.7-21.2L155.8 332.6 48 288 464 48l-59.4 387.3z"></path></svg> rosa.livia@ufjf.br </a> <br><br><br> ]]